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10-year Treasury yield below 3% as traders look ahead to jobs data


U.S. Treasury yields fell back slightly on Friday, although the closely watched 2-year/10-year yield curve — a key recession signal — remained inverted.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury lost one basis point to about 2.9983%, while the yield on the 30-year Treasury bond was down slightly at 3.1914%. Yields move inversely to prices, and a basis point is equal to 0.01%.


Market pros closely track the spread between longer-duration Treasury yields and shorter-duration yields, with the former typically higher. The 2-year Treasury yield narrowly held above the 10-year. That so-called inversion, particularly if sustained, is often interpreted as a warning sign that the economy may be weakening, and a recession could be on the horizon.

On Wednesday, the latest Federal Reserve meeting minutes showed that the central bank was leaning toward another 75 basis point rate hike this month as it focuses on bringing down inflation.

On the data front, the June employment report is due later on Friday at 8:30 a.m. ET. It’s expected to show another month of strong hiring, bucking any signs of an impending economic slowdown.

Economists predict that the U.S. economy added 250,000 jobs last month and that the unemployment rate will remain flat at 3.6%, according to Dow Jones.

— CNBC’s Elliot Smith, Carmen Reinicke and Jeff Cox contributed to this report.

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